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Welcome to Sourcing Decision Supporting, Inc.
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Sourcing Decision Support, Inc.
Experience Curve Analysis..What should the price be if you continue
to buy additional quantities of the same item to your specifications?
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The Boston Consulting Group performed studies that found non-labor as well as
labor related costs followed a composite learning curve and label it the
"experience effect." Experience curves can be very useful in forecasting future
prices for items that are purchased on a repetitive basis. All you need is an
initial price and the "experience effect" for the industry or process to
forecast the price of additional quantities.
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Experience curves for select industries and processes are as follows:
aerospace 85%; complex machine tools 75-80%; construction operations 70-90%;
contract manufacturing 85-90%; raw materials 93-96%; repetitive clerical tasks
75-85%; custom integrated circuits 70%; and repetitive electronics manufacturing
90-95%.
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For additional information on this subject see: Notes on the Use of
Experience Curves in Competitive Decision Making, Gerald B. Allan and John S.
Hammond, III Harvard Business School, No. 175-174 and The Boston Consulting
Group, Perspectives on Experience, Boston, MA, 1970.
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